Will Kamala Harris's Lead in National Polls Increase After Her Interview?
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resolved Sep 6
Resolved
NO

Question will resolve YES if Kamala Harris's lead in 538's national polling for the general election 1 week after the interview is greater than the day the interview is conducted.

Question will resolve NO if otherwise.

#🇺🇸 US Politics
#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election
#Kamala Harris
#Democratic Party
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The polling average updates several times a day. (Currently +3.5 as of 8/29 8:36pm ET.) Will you be checking the polling average at specific time on Sep 5? And is +3.5 the baseline?

@howahlah 8/29 average has been +3.5, so I will use that as the baseline. I will resolve this dependent on the average at the end of the day ET.

Why n/a if no change? That seems equally likely and valid

I see where you're coming from. Changed "no change" to NO as question is about yes/no about an increase. Same lead would not be an increase, would resolve no. Thank you!

bought Ṁ75 YES

Easiest trade ever. She has been ahead in national polling since she anounced her candidacy. Currently she is up by +3.4 and her lead continues to grow. It would take something very drastic for her to trail in the national polls.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/

It says INCREASE in lead

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