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MANIFOLD
Will I be sick within the next 7 days?
17
Ṁ100Ṁ290
resolved Dec 26
Resolved
NO

I sat in a car for ~2 hours today with somebody who was coughing semi-regularly. The windows were closed most of the time. They later told me that their throat felt ticklish.

I'll resolve onset of any of the following symptoms by 11:59:59PM on Christmas Day (Western Christmas, not Orthodox Christmas) as YES:
- Sore throat
- Headache
- Fever
- Persistent Cough

as long as they are not caused by some acute physical irritation, e.g. breathing in dust.

  • Update 2025-12-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will not directly reveal whether any symptoms have occurred until trading is closed.

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Christmas Day (for Orthodox Christmas) is 25th December . Only USSR (several Eastern Orthodox Churches, including those in Russia, Serbia, Georgia), Jerusalem, and some Old Calendarist groups, still use the traditional Julian calendar

have you felt a Headache?

@ChangAnthony I will not directly reveal the answer to this market until trading is closed

bought Ṁ15 YES

Was the other person recovering from an infection or only just starting to have symptoms?

@Jasonb they said they started to have symptoms the day before the car trip.

Have you had a flu vaccine recently?

@Quroe flu vaccine barely helps you not get it, it just makes it a lot less bad if you do (i have the flu right now but i was vaccinated)

@realDonaldTrump yeah I don't really believe in the flu vaccine