Will Ted Cruz win the 2024 US Senate election in Texas?
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1kį¹120kresolved Nov 6
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Resolves YES if Ted Cruz wins the Texas Senate election in November 2024, and NO otherwise. In particular, if Ted Cruz does not run for reelection, this market will resolve NO (after the relevant filing deadline has passed).
This market applies only to the seat currently held by Ted Cruz and not any other Senate seat.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@octothorpe The NYTimes has called this for Cruz: Texas U.S. Senate Election Results 2024: Cruz vs. Allred - The New York Times
opened aį¹150NO at 25% order
"Iām going to give Allred a 30% chance of pulling off the upset"
You post 30% but bet 75%?