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MANIFOLD
90%+ regular wearable use in 1+ country by EOY 2031?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ82
2031
38%
chance

Resolves YES if a reputable survey shows ≥90% of adults in 1 country or more, regularly use a wearable (smartwatch, ring, band, etc.) that tracks sleep, physical activity, heart rate, or other health metrics by EOY 2031.

Wearable = Body worn device that frequently collects biometric data.

Regular = 4+ days a week

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