Will the Tesla Robotaxi use only Cameras as its primary input?
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resolved Oct 11
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YES

Will Tesla Robotaxi, set to be unveiled, will utilize only cameras as its primary input for navigation and operation? Predict whether Tesla's approach to autonomous driving in this specific model relies solely on camera-based systems without the integration of other sensor types such as LiDAR, radar, or ultrasonic sensors.

  • Tesla Robotaxi: A specific model of an autonomous vehicle developed by Tesla, scheduled for unveiling on the specified date. This vehicle is designed to operate without a human driver, using autonomous driving technology.

  • Primary Input: The main sensory technology used by the Robotaxi to perceive its environment and make driving decisions. Primary input must constitute more than 50% of the sensory data used for the vehicle's navigation and operational decisions.

  • Cameras Only: Refers to the exclusive use of camera systems to gather environmental data, without supplementation or integration from other types of sensory technologies such as LiDAR, radar, or ultrasonic sensors.

The market will resolve affirmatively if, during the Tesla Robotaxi unveiling event on August 8, 2024, it is explicitly stated by official Tesla representatives or demonstrated that the vehicle uses only camera systems as its primary input OR Explicitly stated on the website with product information.

The following must be confirmed for a Yes Resolution:

  • Cameras constitute as the primary sensory inputs used for the vehicle’s autonomous operations.

  • No other sensory technologies (e.g., LiDAR, radar, ultrasonic sensors) are employed in the primary operational framework of the vehicle.

The resolution will be based on the statements made and information provided during the official unveiling event, which can be verified through Tesla's Official Media Channels.

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if the unveil event is delayed, what happens to this market?

@notarealuser pinging creator.

my interpretation would be that it's NO—if no tesla robotaxis are unveiled on 8/8, then by definition they don't use cameras as their primary input. but creator might disagree

Seems like it would N/A

Prolonging the market until the unveil would be the most sensible choice.

Agreed

prolonging the market, obviously.

Possibly relevant, although presumably not a large enough order to cover a taxi fleet: https://jalopnik.com/elon-musk-lidar-hater-is-probably-going-to-use-lidar-1851463266

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