If Sam Altman returns to OpenAI under any position by the eOY, this market will resolve to a YES.
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@notarealuser would you be willing to unresolve this market until we have confirmation that Sam is back?
All we have heard (afaik) is that there is an agreement "in principle", Sam is not yet back, they are still working on contracts and details and whatnot. This means it's premature to close a market like this.
Note that Sam's latest tweet about this says he is "looking forward to returning to OpenAI", and I expect he would have said something else if he was actually back at the org.
@james how do i do that? i am new to this website, i have been trying to find a way to do that. all i have come across is this. Undo contract resolution by IanPhilips · Pull Request #1515 · manifoldmarkets/manifold · GitHub
Siqi Chen on X: "this is actually remarkable. so the new ceo asks the board for proof that sam did anything wrong, or he’s going to walk. the board was so incapable of doing so that they preferred to just bring sam back instead of providing any proof at all. ☠️" / X (twitter.com)
Polymarket trades at 53%, vs 35% on this market: https://polymarket.com/event/sam-back-as-ceo-of-openai
Siqi Chen on X: "wow. openai staff set a deadline of 5pm tonight for all board members to resign and bring sam and greg back, or else they all resign. the board agreed but is now waffling and its an hour past the deadline. this is all happening in real time, right now. https://t.co/nIfp0bjJxt" / X (twitter.com)
Arbitrage opportunity (although not exactly the same): https://manifold.markets/NealShrestha58d3/sam-altman-will-return-to-openai-by
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