Will there be a reasoning model more powerful than o1-preview, and cheaper and >10x faster than o1-mini, by Nov 12 2025?
13
100Ṁ1043
Nov 13
84%
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By Nov 12 2025, will there be a model that meets all of these criteria:

Note:

  • does not need to be an OpenAI model

  • open weights or free models will count as cheaper

  • quantized/distilled versions count, as long as they also beat the same accuracy thresholds

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bought Ṁ20 NO

>720 tokens/sec per Artificial Analysis' figures?

seems like a high bar

@JoshYou imo we’ve only just started realizing algorithmic speedups- still seems to be plenty of low hanging fruit, in fact if there /isn’t/ a reasoning model that is faster than that (regardless of acc) by this time next year I would be extremely surprised. Also whether speedups attributed to blackwell hw speedups or no, we can discuss, ie should it be measured wrt current h100s

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