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75% chance. Clone of https://polymarket.com/event/will-biden-complete-his-term-as-president?tid=1719729460020 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden successfully finishes his term as President of the United States of America without any interruptions. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will not resolve "Yes" until the presidency is successfully transferred from Biden to another person at the completion of his term on January 20, 2024, or until Biden is sworn into the presidency again on that date. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Resolves identically to the Polymarket market.