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Plus
267
119k
2025
83%
chance

Clone of https://polymarket.com/event/will-biden-complete-his-term-as-president?tid=1719729460020

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden successfully finishes his term as President of the United States of America without any interruptions. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will not resolve "Yes" until the presidency is successfully transferred from Biden to another person at the completion of his term on January 20, 2024, or until Biden is sworn into the presidency again on that date.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolves identically to the Polymarket market.

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actually down to 64% now on polymarket

This seems ridiculous to me, in that backing off of running from president is one thing, but actually resigning from being president is such a show of weakness for Democrats.

also it prevents kamala from running for re-election in 2028

Only if she took office before Jan 20 2023

Down to 72% on Polymarket:

edit: Not really, it's more like 80% (blame Polymarket's bad software)

bought Ṁ200 NO

says last price was 80c and spread is 1c around that, not sure why it displays 72c on the graph

Oh yeah, I forgot how bad Polymarket's site is 😆

Any thoughts on why this wouldn't be at 95%?

If he has to drop out of the race, is he qualified to remain president?

bought Ṁ200 YES

Death from natural reasons, I guess.

January 20, 2025

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