Will Yevgeny Prigozhin still be alive and posting videos at the end of July?

148

470

Ṁ33K

Ṁ2K

resolved Jul 31

Resolved

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Dear Leader of PMC Wagner and Democratic People's Republic of Rostov-on-Don, will he prevail and keep shitposting on telegram?

Resolving YES if he posts at least one video message in the last week of July and is alive on July 31

*update June 25 - he has traded Wagner and Rostov for an undisclosed amount of potatoes and life in Belarus. Radio silence since.

Get Ṁ200 play money

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25 Comments

119 Holders

510 Trades

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predicted YES

Considering he was just assassinated, I would say he was alive at the end of July, although not posting videos.

Will resolve at midnight (3h from now).

Looks like a solid No, unless someone can link something I've missed.

@nickten requires a video not audio right

@SemioticRivalry correct. there are 3 audio clips, those don't count.

Another short audio message today about the current state of Wagner. AND.... a video (!!) of Prigozhin (!!!) ... but it's a repost from new year's eve.

bought Ṁ71 of NO

@nickten Nailbiter!

sold Ṁ80 of NO

@ianminds too rich for my blood!

boughtṀ500YES

@JamesHumphreys Why did you buy so much? Did he post a video?

predicted NO

I do not see any vids?

sold Ṁ334 of YES

If you wanted to ask “will progozhin be alive and shitposting on telegram” then you should have asked that. Since this only resolves with a telegram shitpost then the question is misleading.

bought Ṁ24 of NO

Personally, I bought NO based on the narrow resolution criteria of posting a video within the last week and still being alive by the end of it

If it were any picture or video where he appears, then I would feel misled ..

bought Ṁ20 of YES

@Puggy even if you don't take the "shitposting" req that literally, prigozhin still isn't posting videos himself

@Puggy Sure, we can do the literal title, show me a video posted by Prigozhin at the end of July.

predicted YES

Surely this resolves the question?

https://twitter.com/pjotrsauer/status/1684561194324213761?s=46&t=nif45REtUEq8uaLjcZ17Tg

sold Ṁ141 of NO

@Puggy But its just a photo

@Puggy that's from a telegram post from July 27 and it's just a picture

predicted YES

@nickten Would you count this telephone interview in Cameroon. It’s a video including his audio, accompanied with the pictures he took with media afrique then I think the jist of this question has been answered.

https://youtu.be/bp2gGyHHlVo

@Puggy No. I understand that you have a large position, but it is what it is - our boy is just not posting video messages like he used to back in the coup days.

There's still a day left though...

sold Ṁ140 of YES

retracted

predicted YES

@Puggy He’s alive, shitposting, and appearing in African media but he hasn’t shown himself on video this week.

bought Ṁ197 of YES

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-66333403.amp

If there’s any video of him at the Africa summit on July 28 this should resolve Yes.

sold Ṁ135 of NO

@Puggy Just links to a photo.

predicted NO

@Puggy Oh I misread. But I think if someone else records him in a formal setting that is quite different than him posting on telegram, and that is what this market is about right?

predicted YES

@Timothy I believe so. My bet wishes otherwise, but so it goes

@Timothy

will he prevail and keep shitposting on telegram?

this is the soul of the question. i'm willing to be somewhat lenient, but a tv recording of a formal meeting like the Russia-Africa summit in Saint Petersburg will not count. sorry @Puggy