Will Yevgeny Prigozhin still be alive and posting videos at the end of July?
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148
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resolved Jul 31
Resolved
NO

Dear Leader of PMC Wagner and Democratic People's Republic of Rostov-on-Don, will he prevail and keep shitposting on telegram?

Resolving YES if he posts at least one video message in the last week of July and is alive on July 31

*update June 25 - he has traded Wagner and Rostov for an undisclosed amount of potatoes and life in Belarus. Radio silence since.

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predictedYES

Considering he was just assassinated, I would say he was alive at the end of July, although not posting videos.

Will resolve at midnight (3h from now).

Looks like a solid No, unless someone can link something I've missed.

@nickten requires a video not audio right

@SemioticRivalry correct. there are 3 audio clips, those don't count.

Another short audio message today about the current state of Wagner. AND.... a video (!!) of Prigozhin (!!!) ... but it's a repost from new year's eve.

@nickten Nailbiter!

@ianminds too rich for my blood!

James Humphreysboughtแน€500YES

@JamesHumphreys Why did you buy so much? Did he post a video?

predictedNO

I do not see any vids?

If you wanted to ask โ€œwill progozhin be alive and shitposting on telegramโ€ then you should have asked that. Since this only resolves with a telegram shitpost then the question is misleading.

Personally, I bought NO based on the narrow resolution criteria of posting a video within the last week and still being alive by the end of it

If it were any picture or video where he appears, then I would feel misled ..

@Puggy even if you don't take the "shitposting" req that literally, prigozhin still isn't posting videos himself

@Puggy Sure, we can do the literal title, show me a video posted by Prigozhin at the end of July.

predictedYES

@Puggy But its just a photo

@Puggy that's from a telegram post from July 27 and it's just a picture

predictedYES

@nickten Would you count this telephone interview in Cameroon. Itโ€™s a video including his audio, accompanied with the pictures he took with media afrique then I think the jist of this question has been answered.

https://youtu.be/bp2gGyHHlVo

@Puggy No. I understand that you have a large position, but it is what it is - our boy is just not posting video messages like he used to back in the coup days.

There's still a day left though...

retracted

predictedYES

@Puggy Heโ€™s alive, shitposting, and appearing in African media but he hasnโ€™t shown himself on video this week.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-66333403.amp

If thereโ€™s any video of him at the Africa summit on July 28 this should resolve Yes.

@Puggy Just links to a photo.

predictedNO

@Puggy Oh I misread. But I think if someone else records him in a formal setting that is quite different than him posting on telegram, and that is what this market is about right?

predictedYES

@Timothy I believe so. My bet wishes otherwise, but so it goes

@Timothy

will he prevail and keep shitposting on telegram?

this is the soul of the question. i'm willing to be somewhat lenient, but a tv recording of a formal meeting like the Russia-Africa summit in Saint Petersburg will not count. sorry @Puggy

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