Dear Leader of PMC Wagner and Democratic People's Republic of Rostov-on-Don, will he prevail and keep shitposting on telegram?
Resolving YES if he posts at least one video message in the last week of July and is alive on July 31
*update June 25 - he has traded Wagner and Rostov for an undisclosed amount of potatoes and life in Belarus. Radio silence since.

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Considering he was just assassinated, I would say he was alive at the end of July, although not posting videos.

Will resolve at midnight (3h from now).
Looks like a solid No, unless someone can link something I've missed.



Another short audio message today about the current state of Wagner. AND.... a video (!!) of Prigozhin (!!!) ... but it's a repost from new year's eve.



If you wanted to ask “will progozhin be alive and shitposting on telegram” then you should have asked that. Since this only resolves with a telegram shitpost then the question is misleading.
Personally, I bought NO based on the narrow resolution criteria of posting a video within the last week and still being alive by the end of it
If it were any picture or video where he appears, then I would feel misled ..

@Puggy even if you don't take the "shitposting" req that literally, prigozhin still isn't posting videos himself

@Puggy Sure, we can do the literal title, show me a video posted by Prigozhin at the end of July.

Surely this resolves the question?
https://twitter.com/pjotrsauer/status/1684561194324213761?s=46&t=nif45REtUEq8uaLjcZ17Tg



@Puggy No. I understand that you have a large position, but it is what it is - our boy is just not posting video messages like he used to back in the coup days.
There's still a day left though...


https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-66333403.amp
If there’s any video of him at the Africa summit on July 28 this should resolve Yes.


@Puggy Oh I misread. But I think if someone else records him in a formal setting that is quite different than him posting on telegram, and that is what this market is about right?


will he prevail and keep shitposting on telegram?
this is the soul of the question. i'm willing to be somewhat lenient, but a tv recording of a formal meeting like the Russia-Africa summit in Saint Petersburg will not count. sorry @Puggy
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