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https://manifold.markets/nickten/how-many-troops-will-russia-lose-by-664f50ebcf82

How many troops will Russia lose by December 31?

Resolves to the assessment from Ministry of Defense of Ukraine "as of Dec. 31" https://www.mil.gov.ua/ or https://twitter.com/defenceu/ can also check - https://www.instagram.com/kyivindependent_official/ and https://index.minfin.com.ua/en/russian-invading/casualties/ Aug 31 was 263,200 Sept 30 was 278,130 Oct 31 was 300,810

@nickten Resolves >300,000:

pls resolve 🥺

Only need 60 more for Oct. 31

Now need only 530 for each of the remaining days for 300k+

460*2 now

Can we get a more specific link? I can't find the stats on the sites OP provided.
Also, what does "by Oct 31st" mean?
The first dilemma is whether or not it includes Oct 31st. The second dilemma is whether it's the losses reported on the 31st (usually the report is for the previous day) or losses on the 31st (likely to be reported on the 1st of November).

@Matt78ff Resolves to The Kyiv Independent "as of Oct. 31" which will be published on Oct. 31

Scroll down and you should see an image with stats, posted daily, morning local time https://www.instagram.com/kyivindependent_official/

or use the other links posted in the comments

https://index.minfin.com.ua/en/russian-invading/casualties/

This one updates faster than

minusrus.com

Casualties of Russia in Ukraine - official data

Casualties of the armed forces of the Russian Federation during the war in Ukraine.

@zkmtx i'm pretty sure the fastest is straight from ZSU https://www.mil.gov.ua/

today - https://www.mil.gov.ua/news/2023/10/27/zagalni-vtrati-rosijskih-zagarbnikiv-stanovlyat-297-6-tis-osib-znishheno-ponad-9500-odinicz-avtotehniki-ta-avtoczistern-voroga-%E2%80%92-generalnij-shtab-zsu/

This question pivots on Adviika and the ongoing Russian operation. If they keep pressing it could be > 300k. Weather is another factor as it could slow ops across the front.

https://minusrus.com/en

Halfway update, +15k in 30 days, 31 more to go: