Will the winner of the 2024 US Presidential Election also win the popular vote?
Plus
31
Ṁ16kresolved Nov 6
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Pretty straightforward.
Will the winner of the Presidential Election win both the Electoral Votes and Popular Votes? Or will we see a split, where the winner of the Electoral Votes receives fewer Popular Votes than their opponent?
I will not bet on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will any candidate win a majority of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
2% chance
[Metaculus] Will the winner of the 2024 United States presidential election win the popular vote?
98% chance
Will the candidate who wins the popular vote in the 2024 presidential election become president?
99% chance
Will the Democratic candidate's popular vote exceed Republican candidate's popular vote in 2024 Presidential election?
1% chance
Will the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election
44% chance
Will winner of National popular vote also win majority of Electoral College?
64% chance
Will the winner of the 2024 USA presidential election win Pennsylvania?
99% chance
Will any candidate receive a record number of votes in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
52% chance