will the turnout in the 2024 Iowa Republican Caucus exceed 110,000 voters?
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resolved Jan 16
Resolved
YES

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predictedYES

NYT has the tally at 110,298 with some votes left to be counted.

predictedYES

Current total is around 104,000 and NBC projects enough will be coming in

predictedYES

Damn, could be down to 100s.

@NFL yeah looked like 50-50 earlier, but now it looks like it will be a few hundred to 1000 over.

https://manifold.markets/Quin/will-the-turnout-in-the-2024-iowa-r?r=UXVpbg

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