Will Apple acquire Disney?
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26
Ṁ805
2030
28%
chance

A persistent rumor -- will it actually happen?

I will resolve YES as soon as an Apple-Disney merger has gone through. If it is pending regulatory approval by the deadline I will extend it and resolve based on the outcome. If no merger has been initiated by then I will resolve NO immediately.

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Restructure such as selling off non-core businesses is necessary for the company's growth. Masters (2023) notes that Disney is looking for a buyer to help the company do better business. In addition, Apple needs a company like Disney to help deploy its AppleTV program. Further, Apple's total market capitalization now stands at $2.9trillion while Disney's total market capitalization is $157.21billion. Therefore, it is believed that Apple has the will and ability to acquire Disney in the future.

Reference:

https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/business/business-news/disney-apple-deal-1235559416/

What if Disney sells media assets such as ABC, ESPN, and Hulu to Apple? That is far more likely than Apple running theme parks.

@JonathanBoswell agreed, but this bet is about a full merger. If Disney continues to exist as an independent entity this resolves NO. If the merge happens but Disney spins of its theme parks I'll resolve YES, regardless of what the theme park company is called. There may be a bit of a gray zone here but since I'm not participating in this market I hope you can trust me to make a fair judgement.

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