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MANIFOLD
This market resolves with PROB of the total amount bet modulo 100
2
Ṁ100Ṁ8
resolved Jun 16
Resolved as
8%
I WILL CLOSE THIS MARKET EARLY! At an arbitrarily-chosen time within 1 hour of the market closing time, I will resolve it based on the amount that is bet at that time. I will not bet in this market, since I know the time. For example, if M$555 is bet, this market will resolve with PROB 55 (paying out M$55 to YES and M$45 to NO). If M$100 is bet, it will resolve with PROB 0. Note that it cannot pay out PROB 100. Hash of a string with the time I've chosen: f45a9fb95b49fef09c9fd0b259943820
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echo -n 'The time that I have chosen is 3:08 Pacific, which is a nice time to choose.' | md5sum f45a9fb95b49fef09c9fd0b259943820 -
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Cool idea!