A fourth to the series! Here's another market based off hangman, which is basically a game in which you guess letters until you get enough information to guess the word. However the catch is that you have a limited number of guesses, so guess wisely!
In the last market, Manifolders failed to save Bobert because of ... bots maybe? Who knows, but the Bob saga continues! Bobelina, who looks very similar to Bobert, is held to the same situation. This is Bobelina:
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O
/ | \
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_/\_
Bobelina is your average fellow being, but for the strategists, notably, she has a head, a two-part body, two arms, two legs, two feet and three hairs (or a fashionable crown), which means that twelve wrong guesses are allowed before Bobelina is complete. Wrong guesses include guesses that have letters not in the word or an incorrect word.
The second constraint is that each person gets one guess in the comments.
The third constraint is that you must bid at least 10 mana as an entry to guess. This is to prevent (not sure if this will be successful?) bots, hopefully.
The word is: STI__S
The current state of Bobelina:
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O
/ | \
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_/\_
Resolves YES if the correct word is guessed or if all the letters in the word are guessed before Bobelina is completed. Resolves NO if the correct word is not guessed or if Bobelina is completed.
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ128 | |
| 2 | Ṁ71 | |
| 3 | Ṁ60 | |
| 4 | Ṁ57 | |
| 5 | Ṁ29 |
Well, yes. Garbage guesses are an appropriate strategy and are not strictly prohibited.
@Simon1551 Not really, since it's far more guaranteed to give dumb guesses than to actually try to guess the answer, and you can also bet NO when the market is overvalued (i.e. I would never expect a more than 10% chance of the YESsers beating out the chaos spreaders)
@Heliscone Well as far as I know this is the first market of its genre, if there's a sequel to this I'm guessing that most people will buy NO from the beginning and the chance will be around 10% like you said. In that case it would be much more profitable to guess right. Right?
To make sure I'm not off by one: 12 wrong guesses are allowed, and the game ends on the 13th. Right?
@roach048c it was a genuine question there's a list of words that could be the answer and x is not part of any of them you bought yes so I assume you didn't do it on purpose
For the next YES player, Hangman Solver - Designed For Mobile Phones (hanginghyena.com) identifies 30 possible words, with the best letter guesses being K, N or T.
-smiths
-snicks
-skiffs
-spills
-sniffs
-slinks
-stilts
-skills
-stiffs
-slings
-sticks
-spicks
-slicks
-swinks
-suints
-stings
-swills
-stinks
-swings
-skimos
-stills
-shifts
-skimps
-spiffs
-stints
-swifts
-scions
-skinks
-shills
-stichs
How do people feel about the ethics of using a computer to see the possible words
@Conflux The market has three precise, numerated constraints. Computer assistance and the use of websites like Hangman Solver - Designed For Mobile Phones (hanginghyena.com) is not constrained, so should be fair game.
