Will Iranian Kurdish forces launch a ground offensive in Iran by April 1st
10
Ṁ100Ṁ313resolved Mar 4
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Media sources are reporting that the CIA is arming the Kurds to launch a ground offensive in Iran in early March. Ex: https://www.cnn.com/2026/03/03/politics/cia-arming-kurds-iran
This market resolves YES if credible media outlets report a ground offensive by Iranian Kurdish opposition forces into Iranian territory by April 1, 2026, involving more than minor border skirmishes. Resolves NO otherwise.
Edit: resolved YES https://www.i24news.tv/en/news/middle-east/iran-eastern-states/artc-exclusive-thousands-of-kurdish-fighters-launch-ground-offensive-into-iran-against-regime-official-says
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ28 | |
| 2 | Ṁ15 | |
| 3 | Ṁ13 | |
| 4 | Ṁ11 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Iran shoot down a US military plane/helicopter by end of March?
28% chance
Will a new regime be installed in Iran before April 1st?
15% chance
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
31% chance
US Forces enter Iran by…?
Le régime iranienne tombera 2 avril
22% chance
Iran’s Army joins forces with the protestors to fight against the Revolutionary Guard by Persian New Year.
8% chance
Will the US deploy ground groups to Iran by…?
12/13/26