Media sources are reporting that the CIA is arming the Kurds to launch a ground offensive in Iran in early March. Ex: https://www.cnn.com/2026/03/03/politics/cia-arming-kurds-iran

This market resolves YES if credible media outlets report a ground offensive by Iranian Kurdish opposition forces into Iranian territory by April 1, 2026, involving more than minor border skirmishes. Resolves NO otherwise.