This market resolves using quantum randomness. There’ll be a version of you that wins and a version that looses
20
103
450
resolved Feb 21
Resolved
NO

This market will resolve to Yes or No using a quantum randomness source. Bet, and it's guaranteed that there's a version of you that wins.

Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ193
2Ṁ141
3Ṁ40
4Ṁ12
5Ṁ5
Sort by:

In this branch of the universe, the market resolves to No.

I used https://qrng.anu.edu.au/dice-throw/, recommended by Yudkowsky.

In another branch, a version of me saw "2" instead, and the market resolved to Yes.

predicted YES

Does this only work in Many Worlds or does one version of me get the payout under some other interpretations too?

bought Ṁ0 of NO

@yaboi69 I trust Yudkowsky on this

@yaboi69 oh sorry read your comments incorrectly.

Yeah, I currently think the many worlds is closest to the truth, if there's some kind of a choice or a collapse, there's only one version of you and you're either lucky or not

Aren't all sources of randomness quantum?

@ZZZZZZ there are different kinds of randomness! I'll be using https://qrng.anu.edu.au/dice-throw/, recommended by Yudkoswky

@ms I guess if you used something like the nth digit of pi, it wouldn't be quantum randomness, but I think most reasonable sources of randomness will have a version of you that wins and one that loses but I guess not necessarily at a 1:1 ratio so if you want that then a quantum random source makes sense.

@ZZZZZZ with most sources of randomness that are not directly quantum, it's not literally "there will be two copies of you run by universe, one has won and another lost"

bought Ṁ0 of NO

@ms well, it won't be exactly two either way but most random sources will have multiple universes created. Maybe not at the exact moment the random number is picked but at some point before that.

With what probability will you resolve YES/NO/N/A?

@TomShlomi You mean what is the chance that you are in the universe where this market is resolved YES?

@TomShlomi 50%/50%/0