Is there an end date for this?

@Mrdudeguy yep, a year from now

Limit order up.

@jim put more up for 2 hours

(removed)

Publishers Weekly say it sold 7k copies- it’s 5k or more pre-ordered, 2k or less bought during the week, according to what they track, which should include Amazon.

@ms interesting because I think that’s normally short of what it takes to make the list, let alone #7 or 8.

FWIW the NYT bestseller list is (somewhat famously/controversially) not just a strict ranking of sales. Other data sources are helpful but not definitive

@Ziddletwix yep, but there is normally not a huge lot of difference between the ranking of NYT, PW, and USA Today, with the exception that NYT often excludes books that are slop and I think tries harder to exclude bulk orders and have somewhat different data from bookshops. Everyone has access to the Amazon sales

Interesting. What’s the model of people betting on Yes? Do you all expect it to still be on the list next week, or appear on the list again later?

@ms NYT best hardcover top 15 list has 8 new titles, so I'd guess <25% that IABIED stays in the top 15. My guess is that word of mouth and tv interviews may push it more in the coming weeks, and get from its 1st week 2k non-preorder sales to 4k sales which seems enough to be back on the list. Aggregate still feels >50% but the market seems to think differently and I was maybe too optimistic. So I'm holding back on buying more rn. Mostly I think by next week we'll have better data on how the sales in week 2 are, and then I might demand more liquidity to defer or I just bet again.

@Joern reasonable!