I want this market to help me find people I'd be excited to date. I'm 23 (was born in 2000), and bi.
The market resolves to the person I'm dating at the end of 2023 if they're suggested as an answer. If I'm not dating anyone, the market resolves to N/A (the "no one 😭" answer is a way to subsidise the market). If I'm dating someone not listed on the market, and I consider a holder of the "Someone who hasn't consented to having their name listed on this market"-like position to have significantly contributed to me ending up dating that person, the market resolves to that; otherwise it resolves to N/A.
(If you don't expect people to consent to publicly appear on this market, please use hashes of their names instead and DM me the names)
A selfie:
Related questions
Resolved to N/A: doesn’t seem to work, feel free to suggest matches on manifold.love; also I offer a m$10k bounty if you privately send me a name of someone and we end up dating long term.
@42irrationalist I appreciate the attempt! But judging by their Twitter profile photo, I don’t think I’d want to date them
@ms I think it should be fine if people only DM the names at the end of the year; I can imagine that there would be a lot of people who are fine with having their names here, but who don't want you to know that their name is here unless you end up dating them
@ms actually, for this use case, it's probably fine. The only real risk is brute forcing/rainbow tables which are probably only possible for short names.
@TomShlomi if a prediction doesn't positively influence the outcome by existing, there's no point. So I think I either want people to DM me the names or prove at the end of the year that they've somehow helped me end up dating the person I'm dating
@ZZZZZZ people can add some short random strings after the full names before hashing, should probably be fine
@ms I'd recommend clarifying that people shouldn't be added without their consent