When will OpenAI release a more capable LLM?
285
4.4kṀ180kresolved Sep 19
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%97%
Second half of 2024
0.2%
2023
0.6%
First half of 2024
1.8%
2025+
(Mostly self-explanatory. To clarify, GPT 4.5 or GPT-5 would count. A new version of GPT-4 with a larger context window won’t)
To clarify further: to count as more capable, the LLM should be able to be better across benchmarks relevant to capabilities while not performing worse on some benchmarks relevant to capabilities.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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