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Will Alanna bond Rand in S02E07 of Amazon's Wheel of Time

50% chance.

SPOILERS for books up through 6 follow.

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My guess is that Moiraine's arc here is probably going to take the place of Siuan's stilling arc. Moiraine doesn't really need the Power for anything major she's likely to do (Be'lal being the exception, but Be'lal was pretty blink-and-you-miss-him anyway), and doing the stilling thing with Siuan from this point would be a retread of this season. So at some point, Nynaeve discovers how to Heal Logain, and then subsequently attempts to Heal Moiraine.

The problem, of course, is that in the books, Moiraine and Lanfear disappear into Finnland well before Nynaeve reaches Salidar and starts studying stilling (and Moiraine is on the other side of the continent from Nynaeve anyway). I don't think it's too hard for them to rearrange things to make it work, though. (If those events even transpire in the same way; right now, I have a hard time imagining them removing either Moiraine or Lanfear from the series halfway through.)

@NLeseul ...Why does the banner for this market appear to be Moiraine fused with a glowing two-headed capybara?

@NLeseul It's an AI generated image based on the title, don't think about it too much 🤣

I vaguely remember Brando Sando saying he read the script and that Moraine was "stilled", but the visual language makes me think she's shielded. Which makes me 50/50 on whether she will regain her channeling ability. Then the question is if she will regain it in Season 2 or in a later Season.

@moyamo Didn't actually look it up, but a Reddit comment said Sando was basically trolling his conversation partner when he said that. And also there's no way Amazon would intentionally leak the answer to that particular cliff hanger so far before S2 even had substantial teasers/trailers let alone episodes out.

Plus they do seem to be legitimately following the "essence" of the story beats, characters arcs, etc. from the books, which in this case would preclude her being stilled (this soon at the minimum and likely never/not until the last season). Add that to, as you indicate, the visual language lacking the "power ripped out of them" that was present when Logain was stilled (gentled? not sure if legality makes a difference to the terminology that Aes Sedai use there), and it seems highly improbable she was stilled. Personally I'd allocate more probability mass to her not getting rid of the shield until Season 3 than I would to her being stilled.

@DavidHiggs It didn't sound like he was trolling to me. But maybe he's just that good of a troll. The thing is, after Eye of the World, Moraine is more useful for her political skills than her channeling ability so I can totally see her going the rest of the show without being able to channel.

@moyamo Can't tell from context if you've read books or not, so BIG spoiler warning:

Full Book Series Spoilers after here.

In the books past EotW, Moiraine fights multiple other Forsaken, explains + demonstrates the first usage of balefire which reveals how much of a pragmatically focused independent badass she is since it's forbidden/illegal by tower law, and most importantly has a confrontation with Lanfear where she ambiguously probably sacrifices her life to protect everyone else/Rand which breaks her warder bond with Lan/passes it on to Myrelle or someone (I forget who: the WoT classic). Lan's seeking death/being bonded to a different Aes Sedai than Nynaeve is a significant element of both of their story arcs, which of course they could cut, but it's another implication/story rework for if Moiraine is in fact stilled.

Since they already spent a chunk of an episode setting up the warder bond/death effects, Moiraine is even more of a main cast member than in the books (Rosamund Pike), and Lanfear seems like one of the top 3 Forsaken to keep when they combine/cut unimportant characters, I strongly suspect that Moiraine will retain and exceed most of her impactful book roles/conflicts. The Lanfear event in particular is one of her biggest moments, so it would make sense to occur in Season 4 or maybe even Season 3 (say in the Rhuidean finale). The doorway/ambiguous death part isn't suuuper important, but it would make sense to keep Moiraine's eventual rescue/surprise return since they didn't cut/combine Thom as a character, nor kill him off in Season 1, and they likely would want to hang on to Rosamund Pike for as big of a role as long as possible.

Now, all of this could alternatively be resolved by Nynaeve figuring out how to heal stilling waaay earlier in the storyline by healing Moiraine, but that would be quite bizarre since she hasn't even started on Aes Sedai training, the personal growth arc with her wilder block/being humble enough to learn/anger issues, etc. It would ruin Nynaeve's character/power progression since there's not much she can do to top that before participating in cleansing Saidin and then helping Rand literally defeat the Dark One in the Last Battle.

@DavidHiggs I have read the books (and, personally, I think the policy on Manifold should be full spoilers. I mean we are predicting the future, how can you not be spoiled 😂)

In the books past EotW, Moiraine fights multiple other Forsaken,

I only remember her fighting Be'lal and I would be surprised if he's not cut.

explains + demonstrates the first usage of balefire which reveals how much of a pragmatically focused independent badass she is since it's forbidden/illegal by tower law,

This can be cut. Rand independently discovers Balefire and Moraine can just explain it. We already know from Season 1 that Moraine is an independent bad ass. I mean she got exiled from the tower.

and most importantly has a confrontation with Lanfear where she ambiguously probably sacrifices her life to protect everyone else/Rand

She literally just tackles Lanfear. Not a lick of the power used.

which breaks her warder bond with Lan/passes it on to Myrelle or someone (I forget who: the WoT classic). Lan's seeking death/being bonded to a different Aes Sedai than Nynaeve is a significant element of both of their story arcs, which of course they could cut, but it's another implication/story rework for if Moiraine is in fact stilled.

Okay, this is legitimately something she needs to power for. (Since at the end of Season 1 she seems to be unable to even unmask the bond without the power). The only way they can get around this is if Moraine already arranged the bond to move to Alana when she dies. This seems very plausible given Episode 5 (Maybe it's worth creating a market for this).

@moyamo Hmm... I would definitely need to rewatch Episode 5, but the wording could be tricky. Something like "in Season 1 of Amazon's Wheel of Time, did Moiraine already use the One Power to arrange for Lan's warder bond to pass to Alanna if she dies?" And then the resolution criteria could be something like "resolves yes if she is revealed to have already done so back in the Tower (in conversation, by dying and Lan's bond passing to Alanna, etc.) in a way that leaves no ambiguity about when it occurred, resolves no at the end of Season 3 (or Season 2), or if she regains the power and causes her bond to pass to Alanna (meaning she hadn't already done so in Season 1)."

There's got to be a less complicated way than that wording, but it actually doesn't seem as simple as this market.

@moyamo

which breaks her warder bond with Lan/passes it on to Myrelle or someone (I forget who: the WoT classic). Lan's seeking death/being bonded to a different Aes Sedai than Nynaeve is a significant element of both of their story arcs, which of course they could cut, but it's another implication/story rework for if Moiraine is in fact stilled.

Okay, this is legitimately something she needs to power for. (Since at the end of Season 1 she seems to be unable to even unmask the bond without the power). The only way they can get around this is if Moraine already arranged the bond to move to Alana when she dies. This seems very plausible given Episode 5 (Maybe it's worth creating a market for this).

I feel like S02E03 essentially confirmed the bolded part.