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https://www.foxbusiness.com/technology/ftx-founder-sam-bankman-fried-lands-new-york-following-extradition-bahamas

Fox News and NYpost say he has arrived in NYC.

https://nypost.com/2022/12/21/sam-bankman-fried-handed-over-to-us-authorities-heading-to-ny/ The eagle has landed.

One week away from the soy and his face no longer looks horrible; lesson in there somewhere

@Gigacasting He lost weight, that's all.

The goblin has landed

"FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried will fly from Bahamas to U.S. Wednesday to face criminal charges" https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/20/indicted-ftx-founder-sam-bankman-fried-to-return-to-us-after-hearing.html

https://www.cnn.com/2022/12/19/business/sbf-extradition-bahamas/index.html

https://apple.news/AIv46aBOOQjyytEdtNs_ZPQ

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ftxs-bankman-fried-appear-bahamas-113104567.html?ncid=twitter_yfsocialtw_l1gbd0noiom&guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly90LmNvLw&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAMyhCQ03jvIdPJMag50qurTY2m5pUA6JbL9crIANK2oVF_ltHXN0J5e28vnEjvXTQ16DG61q45O96UY_BqRdCv8_mNmUvuJ5ec50S4tnves053T1R_8yntlMn_zzysQp_L4tEgVO-SXq4Nd5Bkteo-n-1O8MxxJZq71dqeEGZSRh

Looks like SBF wasn't aware he was to appear in the Bahamas court today, nor has he agreed to be extradited at present.

I don’t think todays news is anything other than a confirmation that his lawyers are going to do whatever it takes to get him out of there.

No idea what this means but it seems relevant https://ewnews.com/wasted-day-sbf-sent-back-to-prison-after-court-confusion

https://twitter.com/DeItaone/status/1604857417916973056?s=20&t=x2C8C2FqhnLktJQxFluBMg

@squirrelfish embed version

Arbitration opportunity with https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/when-will-sbf-be-extradited-to-the. That market at 80% = this market at 50%.

@Gabrielle not quite, due to how the distribution of outcomes works out

Sam Bankman-Fried to reverse decision on contesting extradition

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/sam-bankman-fried-reverse-decision-contesting-extradition-source-2022-12-17/

It never made much sense to even fight it unless he got bail in Bahamas, which he probably would get in the US. Coming back seems like ticket to short term freedom.

Yo what is going on with this market

@DeanValentine he stopped contesting extradition. The question then really comes down to whether or not the Bahama legal department will let the US take him in < 2 weeks, when they also want their pound of flesh from him. Normally the process takes weeks, and typically countries don't like extraditing prisoners when they already have them and intend to charge them themselves, though there's some passing comments from them that they intent to pursue their local legal proceedings in parallel while the US works up their charges, so that doesn't sound like they intend to hold onto him hard.

Caroline coming to save him.

https://www.vice.com/en/article/7k8ang/a-murderer-known-as-the-human-hyena-escaped-prison-during-a-conjugal-visit

Should be lower by now? 11% risk of a jailbreak?

@MartinRandall As of today's date there's a large number of ~13% 'virtual certainties' that expire on Dec 31st, that just need a ton of money to bring down closer to 10% or single digits. As the reward here drops below that line, it becomes harder to justify this as a relative investment.

@EdwardKmett links?

@EdwardKmett ....i trusted you.....

Suddenly my biggest loss is on this market.

@MichaelWheatley sorry, just saw your message. https://manifold.markets/kolotom99/will-realdonaldtrump-tweet-in-2022 https://manifold.markets/BoltonBailey/conditional-on-the-elon-musk-twitte https://manifold.markets/jack/will-elon-musk-name-a-new-noninteri

then there's things like https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/when-will-sbf-be-extradited-to-the-ea467bf3233d which act as an effective hedge against this going up

@MichaelWheatley Not sure how I led you astray, given I was indicating this market seemed like a poor relative investment.