[Metaculus] Will Joe Biden be unwillingly removed from any state ballot relevant to the 2024 Presidential election?
12
28
1k
Nov 6
3%
chance

Will Joe Biden be unwillingly removed from any state ballot relevant to the 2024 Presidential election?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.


Resolution criteria

This will resolve Yes if according to credible sources Joe Biden is unwillingly removed , or ordered to be removed, from any ballot relevant to the 2024 Presidential election, be it the Democrat primary or the general election. The mechanism of the removal can be either by court order or the direct action of the relevant state government. Voluntary withdrawal from a ballot will not count for resolution, nor will removal based upon the choice of a non-governmental organization like the DNC. If this does not happen before the day of the election in 2024, the question will resolve No. Appeals which overturn the initial verdict or action shall not impact the resolution.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.


Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.

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