[Metaculus] Will a terrorist act occur in metropolitan France during the 2024 Summer Olympics + injure/kill one person?
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Aug 12
31%
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Will a terrorist act occur in metropolitan France during the 2024 Summer Olympics?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.


Resolution criteria

The question will resolve as Yes if a terrorist attack in Metropolitan France injures and/or kills at least one person, other than the terrorist(s), between, and inclusive of, the day of the Opening Ceremony (26 July 2024) and the day of the Closing Ceremony (11 August 2024). The question will resolve as No if the above does not happen.

An event will be considered a 'terrorist attack' if it is described as such by any agency of the State of France, or by the French President, Prime Minister, or a member of the Council of Ministers.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.


Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.

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What is wrong with metaculus titles? Terrorist attacks don't have to injure people, put that in the title smh. I changed the title here

There's nothing wrong with them; it takes no effort (a lot in reality apparently) to read the resolution criteria before pressing the big red button or the big green button.

opened a Ṁ500 NO at 34% order

M$500 limit order up on NO at 34%