[Metaculus] Will a terrorist act occur in metropolitan France during the 2024 Summer Olympics?
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Aug 12
33%
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Will a terrorist act occur in metropolitan France during the 2024 Summer Olympics?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.


Resolution criteria

The question will resolve as Yes if a terrorist attack in Metropolitan France injures and/or kills at least one person, other than the terrorist(s), between, and inclusive of, the day of the Opening Ceremony (26 July 2024) and the day of the Closing Ceremony (11 August 2024). The question will resolve as No if the above does not happen.

An event will be considered a 'terrorist attack' if it is described as such by any agency of the State of France, or by the French President, Prime Minister, or a member of the Council of Ministers.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.


Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.

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