This market resolves to YES if Bitcoin's price appreciation (percentage gain) from March 12, 2025 to June 10, 2025 exceeds the average floor price appreciation of the top 10 NFT collections by market cap during the same period.

The top 10 NFT collections will be determined by market capitalization as of March 12, 2025, according to NFT analytics platforms like CryptoSlam or NFTPriceFloor.

This market compares the performance of the leading fungible token (Bitcoin) against prominent NFT collections, addressing the article's comparison of these asset classes.

References:

• https://www.kaloh.xyz/p/hype-cycles-non-fungible-tokens-vs-fungibles

• https://cryptoslam.io/

• https://nftpricefloor.com/

  Background

  Bitcoin and NFTs represent two distinct asset classes in the cryptocurrency ecosystem:

  • Bitcoin (BTC) is the original cryptocurrency, functioning as a digital store of value and medium of exchange. As of 2023, Bitcoin has a market capitalization exceeding $1 trillion.

  • Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs) are unique digital assets that represent ownership of specific items, often digital art, collectibles, or virtual real estate. Unlike Bitcoin, each NFT has distinct properties and values.

  Bitcoin price projections for 2025 suggest potential values between $90,000 and $130,000, with some analysts forecasting even higher figures. Meanwhile, the NFT market has experienced significant volatility since its 2021 boom, with floor prices of collections fluctuating dramatically.

  Resolution Criteria

  This market resolves based on a direct comparison between two percentage changes:

  1. The percentage change in Bitcoin's USD price from March 12, 2025, to June 10, 2025.

  2. The average percentage change in floor prices (in USD) of the top 10 NFT collections by market capitalization during the same period.

  The market resolves to YES if Bitcoin's percentage gain exceeds the average percentage gain of the top 10 NFT collections' floor prices.

  Specific details:

  • The top 10 NFT collections will be determined by market capitalization as of March 12, 2025, using data from established NFT analytics platforms like CryptoSlam or NFTPriceFloor.

  • Floor prices will be measured in USD value at the specified timestamps.

  • If any of the top 10 NFT collections cease to exist or experience technical issues preventing accurate floor price determination during the measurement period, they will be excluded from the calculation and replaced with the next highest collection by market cap.

  Considerations

  • NFT floor prices can be significantly more volatile than Bitcoin, potentially experiencing dramatic swings in short timeframes.

  • The composition of the top 10 NFT collections may include projects across multiple blockchains, including Ethereum, Solana, and potentially Bitcoin-based Ordinals.

  • Market conditions for both asset classes could be influenced by broader economic factors, regulatory developments, or technological advancements occurring in early 2025.

  • The Bitcoin halving event expected in 2024 may influence Bitcoin's price trajectory leading into the measurement period.