This market resolves YES if 1789 Capital, the investment firm associated with Donald Trump Jr., successfully raises at least $5 billion in capital by June 10, 2025, and NO otherwise.

According to the article, "1789 is apparently attempting to raise about $5b which is pennies compared to the $30T real economy." This market will track whether they achieve this fundraising goal.

Resolution will be based on credible financial reporting, official announcements from 1789 Capital, or regulatory filings that confirm the amount raised.

Sources for resolution:

• Bloomberg: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2025-03-10/donald-trump-jr-and-1789-capital-have-big-plans-for-maga-investing

• SEC EDGAR database: https://www.sec.gov/edgar.shtml

  Background

  1789 Capital is an investment firm co-founded by Omeed Malik and associated with Donald Trump Jr., who joined as a partner. The firm has positioned itself as aligned with "America First" economic policies and has attracted attention from conservative investors. According to available information, 1789 Capital aims to collect $1 billion for its first fund by mid-2025, followed by $3-5 billion for a second fund later.

  The firm has reportedly raised $500 million since Inauguration Day, showing significant initial traction. The $5 billion fundraising target mentioned in the market description represents a substantial goal for a relatively new investment firm, especially one with political affiliations.

  Resolution Criteria

  This market resolves YES if, by June 10, 2025, 1789 Capital has demonstrably raised at least $5 billion in total capital across all its funds. It resolves NO if this threshold is not reached by the specified date.

  Resolution will be based on:

  • Credible financial reporting from established business news sources

  • Official announcements from 1789 Capital

  • Regulatory filings (such as SEC documents) that confirm the amount raised

  • Other verifiable public disclosures about the firm's fundraising

  For clarity, the $5 billion threshold refers to the total capital commitments secured, not necessarily capital that has been deployed into investments. Capital raised across multiple funds would count toward the total.

  Considerations

  • Investment firms sometimes announce "soft commitments" or "targets" that differ from legally binding capital commitments. Only confirmed, legally committed capital will count toward the $5 billion threshold.

  • The political nature of 1789 Capital may lead to conflicting reports about its fundraising success. Resolution will rely on verified information from credible sources.

  • If 1789 Capital is acquired or merges with another entity before the resolution date, only capital specifically raised for 1789 Capital (or its successor entity) will count toward the threshold.