Will Twitter muffle Bluesky, like Substack, before 2024?
13
47
250
resolved Jan 1
Resolved as
13%

Resovles yes if links to bluesky specifically cannot be liked or cannot be retweeted for some period of time or before 2024.

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Based on the few strong criteria explicitly mentioned in the description, I won't resolve this YES.

However, reports do indicate that Twitter penalizes, or did, links to Bluesky and to Substack with the same 2,500ms delay, so I don't want to resolve NO. I'm inclined to resolve, not the 50%, possibly to 25%, or possibly to standing percentage.

This market was created in response to:
> Over the Easter weekend, any tweet containing a Substack link was algorithmically deprioritised, blocked from being liked or retweeted, and hidden in search. Searches for the term “substack” itself were automatically replaced with searches for the word “newsletter”. (source)

However, multiple sources report Twitter still throttles links to competitors, Substack, Bluesky, Patreon, and others, alike.
- https://themarkup.org/investigations/2023/09/15/twitter-is-still-throttling-competitors-links-check-for-yourself, header:


- https://www.theverge.com/2023/9/15/23875251/x-twitter-links-throttling-facebook-instagram-threads