Will Trump get more votes in 2024 than he got in 2020?
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In 2020, Donald Trump got 74,223,975 votes.

In 2024 will Donald Trump get 74,223,976 or more votes?

Resolves to the NYT vote tally

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According to Bloomberg, Trump has 73,187,135 votes. So, 1,036,841 more are needed. In California alone, 3,300,436 votes are expected.

Very interesting market. What % of new voters would have to be GOP to make up for the mortality gap?

https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/people-in-republican-counties-have-higher-death-rates-than-those-in-democratic-counties/

@ScottSupak Not only that, in 2020 many states extended early voting and expanded vote-by-mail eligibility. Some have become more restrictive in 2024.

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