Will Trump get more votes in 2024 than he got in 2020?
Basic
82
π4803Nov 9
96%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
In 2020, Donald Trump got 74,223,975 votes.
In 2024 will Donald Trump get 74,223,976 or more votes?
Resolves to the NYT vote tally
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
bought π3.00 YES
According to Bloomberg, Trump has 73,187,135 votes. So, 1,036,841 more are needed. In California alone, 3,300,436 votes are expected.
Very interesting market. What % of new voters would have to be GOP to make up for the mortality gap?
@ScottSupak Not only that, in 2020 many states extended early voting and expanded vote-by-mail eligibility. Some have become more restrictive in 2024.
Related questions
Related questions
Will more people vote for Kamala Harris in the 2024 Presidential election than voted for Donald Trump in 2020?
8% chance
Where will Donald Trump win more votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election than he did in the 2020 election?
Will Donald Trump/Joe Biden get 300 electoral votes in the 2024 election?
99% chance
How much of the popular vote will Donald Trump win in the 2024 United States Presidential election?
Will the Democratic presidential candidate in 2024 win any states that voted for Trump in 2020?
1% chance
Open answer: How many electoral votes will Trump* win in 2024?
How Many Electoral Votes Will Donald Trump Receive in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
What will Trump's vote share be in the 2024 election?
Will Donald Trump receive more than 46.00% of the popular vote in the 2024 general presidential election?
96% chance
Will Black vote for Trump increase significantly from 2020 to 2024?
53% chance