Will Taylor Swift endorse a candidate for US President before announcing her next album?
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Nov 6
38%
chance

Will Taylor Swift endorse a singular Presidential candidate in the 2024 election before announcing her next album?

For endorsements, she must name a singular candidate who is running in the 2024 election. She can say “I’m voting for Trump” or “You should vote for Biden” or “RFK Jr. is the best candidate running for President this year”. Anything demonstrating a clear preference for a singular candidate.

For albums, “Taylor’s Version” [TV] does count, as do new albums. Announcements of other non-album product (think makeup, cook wear…etc.) will not count. More deluxe albums of TTPD will also not count. This needs to be a newly recorded album (even if it was previously recorded before, like TVs).

If she doesn’t endorse anyone in 2024, this market becomes a “Will Taylor ever announce another album?” market, and will extend as needed.

See @Ziddletwix‘s similar vibed market here:

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bought Ṁ20 NO

If the election ends before she announces an album and she hasn't endorsed Biden or Trump, how does this resolve?

@AbilAbraham2816

If she doesn’t endorse anyone in 2024, this market becomes a “Will Taylor ever announce another album?” market, and will extend as needed.

@mattyb sorry I'm new to this but what happens to the shares I've already bought if the market changes? "Will Taylor Swift ever announce another album" is a very different market that I would have a different answer to.

@AbilAbraham2816 the text i quoted to you has been in the market description the whole time; it’s really important to read them. this will remain the logic of the market the whole time, my markets don’t change.

you can sell now (sadly the site now takes a cut off transactions with a fee), but you’ll get nearly all your mana back as you were the most recent trader.

sold Ṁ27 NO

@mattyb thanks for the info. I appreciate the clarification. Totally get that you had it in the description from the beginning so no salt to you. But in terms of manifold itself being able to change the original market seems like a flaw in how this system works. Oh well.

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