Will Kung Fu Panda 4 (2024) be the lowest grossing of the series?
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Apr 20
28%
chance
oh, we got a real horse race [image]
Mar 12
This one’s still quite close: KFP4: $408.4M KFP3: $506.1M
Apr 7

Kung Fu Panda 4 (2024) opens March 8th, 2024. The previous movies have made quite a bit of money, data per TheNumbers:

  • Kung Fu Panda: $631.9M

  • Kung Fu Panda 2: $664.8M

  • Kung Fu Panda 3: $521.1M (see pinned comment, TheNumber is wrong about this total)

Will Kung Fu Panda 4 make less money than Panda 3, the lowest grossing film in the series, at the global box office?

This will Resolve when Kung Fu Panda 4 passes the third film at the worldwide box office, when Panda 4 is out of theatres, or when this is deemed to be mathematically impossible.

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@mattyb @traders

BOM says $521M and TheNumbers says $506M, their difference stems from their China numbers: $154M (BOM), $139M (TheNums).

The Hollywood Reporter has articles about the movie making $144.2M in China, to become the highest grossing movie in China, and another article about it ending at $154.3M. I believe the BOM numbers. The number to beat is $521.17M per BOM.

reposted

Going strong. Domestic performance is between 1 and 2. Worldwide is at 400M.

You guys reckon +100M is feasible befores it gets pulled from theaters?

bought Ṁ20 NO from 31% to 30%

@NoyaV KFP4 has had a staggered release, which has made this question super tricky (I’ve mostly stayed away). Crushing KFP3 domestically, but way behind in china.

It still has SK (IIRC?) and a few other markets, FWIW. So my guess is the weekly drops will continue to be small (last week was only like 20%). But very hard to estimate as it drops hard in some markets and adds a few new ones each week.

reposted

This one’s still quite close:

  • KFP4: $408.4M

  • KFP3: $521.17M

@mattyb The description lists 521 for KFP3. Looks like the numbers has it at 506, and box office mojo has it at 521, so I think 506 is correct (at least the-numbers is the link in the description), but may want to clear up which it will be.

(Not sure why the sources diverge, either international reporting or some rerelease, dunno)

@Ziddletwix oh yikes. let me look at more sources here. @traders fyi!

@mattyb @traders

BOM says $521M and TheNumbers says $506M, their difference stems from their China numbers: $154M (BOM), $139M (TheNums).

The Hollywood Reporter has articles about the movie making $144.2M in China, to become the highest grossing movie in China, and another article about it ending at $154.3M. I believe the BOM numbers. The number to beat is $521.17M per BOM.

sold Ṁ46 NO

@mattyb Super hard one to call! KFP4 is crushing the domestic pace of KFP3, but KFP3 made even more money in China than the US, and it seems implausible that KFP4 will do nearly as well there (times have changed). so you can't really compare the movies, just kinda have to guess whether KFP4 is on pace to reach $520M in isolation

bought Ṁ10 of YES

crystals said yea

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