Will either of the Hard Fork hosts make new predictions on Manifold in 2024?

8

100Ṁ705

resolved Jan 4

Resolved

NO

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Kevin’s still got his Manifold credentials, at minimum! [image]

At the end of 2023, Casey and Kevin made a series of predictions about 2024 on their podcast, and made markets for them here on Manifold. Will they do the same in 2024?

Resolves YES if, in connection to the Hard Fork podcast, Casey Newton and/or @KevinRoose18ac (through this account or another) make (at least) a single prediction market on Manifold before the end of 2024; Resolves NO otherwise.

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