Will either of the Hard Fork hosts make new predictions on Manifold in 2024?
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At the end of 2023, Casey and Kevin made a series of predictions about 2024 on their podcast, and made markets for them here on Manifold. Will they do the same in 2024?
Resolves YES if, in connection to the Hard Fork podcast, Casey Newton and/or @KevinRoose18ac (through this account or another) make (at least) a single prediction market on Manifold before the end of 2024; Resolves NO otherwise.
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@mods kevin roose made new predictions in 2025. no sign of other activity from either. resolving NO ping me if I missed anything.
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