Will DJT outperform the S&P 500 in 2024?
24
1kṀ3928
resolved Dec 17
Resolved
YES
DJT: +37.8% S&P: +21.2%
Hard to say, they are pumping it hard pre market probably to fund the campaign, but after November they may just dump it again, I'm buying some Yes anyway just in case

At the end of 2024, will Trump Media & Technology (DJT) stock will have outperformed the S&P 500 index?

Note: DJT IPO’d in March, so the YTD will be March - December, in comparison to the S&P’s January - December.

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@mods Pls resolve yes, creator not active anymore

@Lion source?

@Stralor

Never mind my previous YES. I just read the disclaimer: "DJT IPO’d in March, so the YTD will be from March to December, compared to the S&P’s January to December." This means the market would resolve as NO, but it seems that even Matt doesn’t acknowledge this in his earlier comment. (See: link)

However you choose to resolve it (January or March (26th?)), the Google data provide clarity, as both outcomes are pretty clear: (Jan-Dec is obviously YES, Mar-Dec is obviously NO).

The exact data is available here:

I’m not giving any recommendations on how to resolve this, just sharing the data for reference.

bought Ṁ25 YES

Hard to say, they are pumping it hard pre market probably to fund the campaign, but after November they may just dump it again, I'm buying some Yes anyway just in case

reposted

DJT: +37.8%

S&P: +21.2%

bought Ṁ200 YES

@traders DJT just pulled into the lead:


bought Ṁ10 YES

Putting a small bet on yes, because while this business is a total failure on economic fundamentals, I expect it to be carried by Trump sycophants and/or wealthy foreign investors looking for favors if Trump gets elected again. At least until such time as Trump dumps the stock, which could happen before EOY. I definitely don’t have enough confidence to put actual money on this.

So far:

  • DJT: +43.42%

  • S&P: +9.72%

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