Will Decision Desk (DD HQ) be the first to call the 2024 Presidential Election?
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6
Ṁ421
resolved Nov 10
Resolved
YES

Decision Desk HQ was the first major election reporting organization to call the 2020 United States presidential election for Joe Biden. The call was made shortly before 9 a.m. ET on Friday, November 6. It made this call after projecting that Biden's lead in outstanding mail-in ballots from Pennsylvania left incumbent Donald Trump with no realistic path to win Pennsylvania and its 20 electoral votes. McCoy told Vox that the great majority of mail-in ballots from Pennsylvania were from heavily Democratic areas around Philadelphia and Pittsburgh. According to McCoy, Biden was winning the mail-in vote in those areas by a margin large enough to make his lead in the state insurmountable. By Decision Desk HQ's accounting, adding Pennsylvania to Biden's total gave Biden 273 electoral votes, three over the threshold to make him president-elect. Vox, who partnered with Decision Desk HQ, called the election for Biden shortly after. Statistician Nate Silver praised Decision Desk HQ's call and hoped other sources would follow suit.

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Will DDHQ be the first major election reporting organization to call the 2024 Presidential Election?

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I believe that DD HQ was first, calling it at 1:21am. Resolving YES until anyone can find source of a major network making an earlier call than that.

https://www.latimes.com/entertainment-arts/business/story/2024-11-06/how-the-networks-covered-election-night

Hard to interpret for me, but maybe I just don't know how these things work. Apparently "NewsNation" was first, but they used data from DDHQ

@diracdeltafunk I don't believe newsnation counts as major?

@Fay42 correct

bought Ṁ25 YES

I can't find anyone who was earlier?

bought Ṁ50 YES

@mattyb I believe this resolves Yes

@Fay42 agreed

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