Will Biden overtake Trump’s lead in the next NYT/Siena poll?
42
Ṁ1kṀ1.3kresolved Jun 26
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
In the next New York Times/Siena poll, following the April 7 - 11th one, will Biden be ahead of Trump when asked: If the 2024 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were Joe Biden and Donald Trump?
For Biden to overtake Trump, his number must be strictly higher than Trump’s. Ties Resolve NO.
In April the results were:
Trump: 46%
Biden: 45%
See related markets about the April Siena poll:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ140 | |
| 2 | Ṁ87 | |
| 3 | Ṁ56 | |
| 4 | Ṁ45 | |
| 5 | Ṁ18 |
Sort by:
@mods https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/26/us/politics/trump-poll-hush-money-conviction.html i think this can resolve? (don't have a stake here)