@mods do you all want to take over this market? creator appears to no longer be active. I've checked the list against https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Last_Week_Tonight_with_John_Oliver_episodes as specified by the creator and bought up all the ones I find a strong match for to 99%. These I strongly believe can resolve to yes.

List of Last Week Tonight with John Oliver episodes - Wikipedia

The others should probably remain open for now given that this doesn't close until the end of the year.

@mattyb I'd argue we've got a hit.

https://youtu.be/u2ii0DCREzA?si=xeRE4wc2RjU5aOVg

sure, googling around the internet seems to consider hospice care a type of health care

Given he'd have to lie to talk about this, seems unlikely, no?

@Najawin the show could run until this is true 🤷🏻‍♂️ (i didn’t add this one).

If we zoom out to a time scale of the 1980s to now of wages versus various other indexes, I think the argument could be made.

@Quroe "versus various other indexes"

So lying.

@Najawin You could save up to 15% or more on car insurance.

@Quroe No, the issue isn't one of ambiguity. It's that when we say wages are stagnating or increasing or what have you we mean that, adjusting for CPI, they aren't going up. Comparing it to "GDP" or "productivity" is just silly. We have no reason to expect that real wages / (whatever denominator you want) would continue to increase. The concern was that there was a period of about 10-15 years (albeit, including '08 and the recovery) where real wages were stagnating, which is why people kept talking about it. But we're well and truly past that! Economists don't say that anymore, because real wages have gone up! But to rescue the idea that the middle class is in dire, awful financial straits for rhetorical effect, the claim has become "oh, but if you just compare it to these other indexes, then they've stagnated". But there's just no reason to do that. That's not what we care about. There's no reason to think that comparison is meaningful. It's just lying.

@Najawin Very well. I believe the general idea presented here is a talking point in America, and seeing our favorite British fellow with a thing for muscular horses talk about the points you bring up and debunking the talking point as you have here would be a solid hit for that market category. Can we shake hands on that?

@Quroe I mean, sure, but I think it's unlikely to happen, because he doesn't punch left enough. And to punch right he'd have to lie.

@Najawin I am quite alright with you winning the internet for the night here. I will admit that I am not immune to propaganda.

To clarify your description, is an "in passing" comment enough to resolve YES? Or does it need to be a main topic in his segments?

For example, if he cracks a Taylor Swift joke, would you resolve that topic YES?

@Quroe nah. It needs to be either the Main Segment or an “Other Segment”, going off the Wikipedia article. He’s gotta devote the show to a topic (at least partially) for this to count.

@Quroe i clarified this in the description.

@mattyb Good call.

Added Cost of Housing and Stagnant Wages. I can imagine many futures where both are covered in the same episode, but not all future time lines. The market creator can use their best judgement.