Will there be an ISIS terrorist attack in France in 2024?
Basic
27
1.1k
Dec 31
46%
chance

France has recently raised its terror alert to the highest level following an attack at a Moscow concert hall, which resulted in at least 137 fatalities. The attack has been claimed by ISIS, and graphic footage has been released. French Prime Minister Gabriel Attal cited the Islamic State’s claim of responsibility and the threats facing the country as reasons for elevating the Vigipirate posture to its highest level: attack emergency. Additionally, two attempted terror attacks on French soil have been foiled since January, and 45 in total since 2017.

Resolves YES if there is a confirmed terrorist attack by ISIS on French soil in 2024, resulting in at least three deaths.

Resolves NO by 2025.

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