Will Kalshi or Polymarket launch a conditional market in 2024?
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70Ṁ435resolved Jan 2
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Conditional markets are useful to guide decision making.
Resolves YES when Kalshi or Polymarket provide at least one conditional market people trade on.
Resolves NO in 2025.
By "conditional market", I mean something like Metaculus provides:
It needs to be somehow mechanically different to the multiple choice markets, they already provide.
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@marktwse I think there was a market with "if" in the title, but the description of that market made it clear it wasn't really conditional. But I don't remember more about it.
@MaybeNotDepends I want to be liberal about it, but this is not what people mean when talking about "conditional markets". Added some more description.
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