Will Israel occupy Gaza in April?
4
115
Ṁ580Ṁ110
resolved Apr 1
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market tries to forecast a possible "end" of the current conflict. Will Israel occupy the Gaza strip like the West Bank? For this market, we only consider official statements by Israel and take them at face value. It does not matter what Israel's enemies claim happens.
Resolves YES if the Gaza strip is governed similarly to the West Bank now. Area A and B style qualify but not Area C. It does not have to be the PNA itself but some equivalent palestinian entity. It could even be called Hamas, but cooperation with Israel is required.
Resolves NO if the Gaza strip is still in a state of war or if Israel has withdrawn or it is like West Bank (Area C).
(In April, Israel celebrates Passover. That felt like a reasonable cutoff month)
Get Ṁ200 play money
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ27 | |
2 | Ṁ14 | |
3 | Ṁ14 | |
4 | Ṁ1 |
Sort by:
Related questions
Discourse 2024: Israel will assume full military occupation in Gaza?
42% chance
Will the IDF continue occupying Gaza and killing civilians in 2024?
50% chance
Will the war in Israel end after the entirety of the Gaza strip is occupied?
32% chance
Will Israel annex Gaza by the end of 2024?
10% chance
Will Israel annex Gaza and move to expel a majority of its current residents by 2025?
8% chance
Will Israel annex any part of North Gaza by the end of 2024?
8% chance
Will Israel annex Gaza City by the end of 2024?
6% chance
Will Israel expel all Palestinians from Gaza?
5% chance