Will a republican win the 2024 election if GOP nominates...
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24
Ṁ3537resolved Nov 6
Resolved
YESDonald Trump
Resolved
N/ANikki Haley
Resolved
N/AVivek Ramaswamy
Resolved
N/ARon DeSantis
All but the nominee resolve NA.
The nominee resolves YES if he/she wins the overall election and NO if someone else wins.
First nomination counts. If Trump gets nominated everybody else is NA. If Trump later withdraws, he resolves NO. Followup does not matter.
Arbitrate with /ahalekelly/if-donald-trump-is-the-2024-nominee
There is also /marketwise/will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-electi-d213115a0434
Close date might be extended if election results take longer.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Donald Trump
@marktwse Most of these can resolve N/A now. I don't think non-mods are able to do so, so let me know if you want me to resolve these for you.
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