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oh..

https://x.com/XSpaces/status/1822813953942040585

GUYS REMEMBER THAT NOT EVERY LIVE EVENT ON X/TWITTER IS A "SPACE"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bMPbYusoTh8

to confirm - the upcoming livestream event is not confirmed to be a twitter space, just a livestreamed event. not sure if it counts

@strutheo https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/tech-news/elon-musks-x-plans-livestream-event-donald-trump-rcna154959
seems to be saying
"Elon Musk confirmed Friday that his X app is planning to host a livestreamed town hall-style event with former President Donald Trump"
and
which said X was planning a similar video event with independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr

@ChristopherRandles but that wasnt a space was it?

@strutheo They haven't confirmed date or time yet and plans can fall through. But if it is on X app what is it going to be other than a space broadcast?

This at 16% while https://manifold.markets/Blomfilter/atleast-two-presidential-candidates was at 69% but announced plans don't qualify for the other one seemed very odd to me. I have moved them closer 32% and 38% but still seem wrong way around.

Will at least 2 presidential candidates talk on the same Twitter space before the 2024 US election

38% chance. Out of all the presidential candidates listed here https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/us/politics/presidential-candidates-2024.html [image]will resolve "YES" if at least 2 or more will talk in a Twitter space TOGETHER prior to the election. To be clear, the Candidates must both talk in the same space. It will resolve NO if one candidate joins but never speaks. (ex. the account joins as a listener, but does not participate in dialogue)

@ChristopherRandles a space is specifically the live speaking room that everyone can join. it is not the same as a live video broadcast on twitter, i think?

@strutheo Agreed but if you want to do a townhall which do you use? If you want the audience to ask questions and not have everyone shouting down everyone else then a space is going to have the tools to do that better. A later uploaded audio recording wouldn't be a livestream, and if livestreamed audio tweet how do you get audio from a particular member of audience?

Doesn't count.

What doesn't count? Interview on Monday 11th?
Have they released enough details yet to know whether it will be live on a 'X space'?
How are you so sure it won't be live on a 'X space'?

Elon is financing trumps campaign... Trump WONT go on a space? what?

>What doesn't count?

A livestream video is not a Twitter space

So if they have a X Space and there is video enabled, you will resolve it as NO?