Who will win the 2026 Fields Medals?
142
900Ṁ74k2026
24%
Jacob Tsimerman
22%
Hong Wang
20%
Alexander Efimov
17%
John Pardon
4%
Vesselin Dimitrov
4%
Yu Deng
3%
3%
Sam Raskin
1.3%
Jack Thorne
Every person who wins resolves to 25% (assuming it's 4 people who split it equally, in general we split it).
It's very silly to bet people over 25%. In principle the Fields Medal could be awarded to fewer than four people but that's unlikely.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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