![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffirebasestorage.googleapis.com%2Fv0%2Fb%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fo%2Fdream%252FIuwDLV04pI.png%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3D21df8f38-ee93-49ea-91b4-f00d6035123b&w=3840&q=75)
Will Marie Byrd land have (had) a permanent population by 2060?
Mini
2
Ṁ332026
41%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As defined by, strangely, the Chinese government: https://stats.tj.gov.cn/nianjian/2010nj/html/zbe03.htm#:~:text=Permanent%20Population,(over%20half%20a%20year).
Note: There doesn't necessarily have to be a permanent population there at market close.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a permanent population in Antarctica before a semipermanent population on the moon?
20% chance
Will humans establish a permanent colony in Mars by 2040?
40% chance
Will there be a martian colony by 2050?
32% chance
Will there be >100 humans living on the moon in 2063?
48% chance
Will there be at least 100 people on mars by 2050?
39% chance
Will there be a permanently inhabited Moon base by 2040?
23% chance
When will there be people living permanently on mars?
Will there be >100 humans living on Mars in 2063?
46% chance
Will any seastead have a population of at least 100 permanent residents before 2030?
42% chance
Will there be >100 humans living on Mars in 2050?
27% chance