Will Alex O'Connor publicly come in contact with the ratsphere in 2024?
Basic
5
Ṁ105
Dec 31
39%
chance

Resolves Yes if Alex O'Connor (formerly CosmicSkeptic) interviews a rat-adjacent person (in borderline cases, only if typical rationalist topics are mentioned), tweets about LW, Manifold, HPMoR etc. or talks about typical rationalist topics (eg. AI alignment from a rationalist perspective) on his YT channels.

Resolves N/A, if people strongly disagree about what constitutes rationalist topics.

Resolves No otherwise.

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