Will Alex O'Connor publicly come in contact with the ratsphere in 2024?
4
37
แน55แน110
Dec 31
62%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if Alex O'Connor (formerly CosmicSkeptic) interviews a rat-adjacent person (in borderline cases, only if typical rationalist topics are mentioned), tweets about LW, Manifold, HPMoR etc. or talks about typical rationalist topics (eg. AI alignment from a rationalist perspective) on his YT channels.
Resolves N/A, if people strongly disagree about what constitutes rationalist topics.
Resolves No otherwise.
Get แน200 play money
More related questions
Related questions
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2024?
72% chance
Will Trump be confined in 2024?
30% chance
Will Scott Alexander endorse a presidential candidate in 2024?
43% chance
Will Trump be elected in 2024?
44% chance
Will Gregor be right about 2024?
Will Alex Jones be suspended for any period of time from Twitter in 2024?
39% chance
Will Rupert Murdoch survive 2024?
69% chance
Will Elon Musk appear on Infowars in 2024?
24% chance
Will Scott Alexander be a guest on any podcast whatsoever before 2028?
23% chance
Will William Daniels survive 2024?
55% chance