Basic
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Dec 31
97%
Donald Trump will be the GOP nominee for the presidential election
25%
There will be an economic recession (presumably in the USA)
88%
"AI deep fake porn is going to become a political issue" AND there will be efforts to pass laws against it
72%
Hunter Biden will not face any serious consequences for his crimes
60%
We will not find out who is on Epstein's client list

The conservative commentator seems to have taken up forecasting. A track record of his publicly available predictions will be added later.

Which of his 2024 predictions will turn out true?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LTwrltYEa-k

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"AI deep fake porn is going to become a political issue" AND there will be efforts to pass laws against it
bought Ṁ150 "AI deep fake porn i... YES

https://www.theverge.com/2024/1/30/24056385/congress-defiance-act-proposed-ban-nonconsensual-ai-porn

It seems like a bipartisan issue to me. It’s seems very likely that Congress will try and tackle it soon.

We will not find out who is on Epstein's client list

Can we be more specific on this one? Also, in general to these resolve to his own ranking of his predictions or yours?

@Joshua They will resolve according to his judgment if such a judgment is available on the internet. Otherwise, I will make polls to decide specific resolution criteria.

@Joshua I suppose "We will not find out who is on Epstein's client list" means that it won't be possible to find credible information on which specific people have been clients of Jeffrey Epstein's child prostitution establishment.

@logaems What about only a few names leaked, which would be possible. Or a very small list that's pretending to be the full-list and only for activities that have plausible deniability against child prostitution, or prostitution period? Just as many who have previous associations with Epstein will automatically use the defense that they barely knew him or what he was doing, even those on a client list will likely also use such defense.

I do agree though that the people involved are too powerful, the charges would be too damaging, and the government, media, and powerful interests are too involved to ever reveal something so self-incriminating.

@Maniuser We'll see what Knowles thinks if he comments on it. Otherwise, I will resolve the question according to publicly available information on whether the potential leaked list is complete.

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