Michael Knowles' 5 big predictions for 2024
100
2.9kαΉ€14k
resolved Jan 23
Resolved
YES
"AI deep fake porn is going to become a political issue" AND there will be efforts to pass laws against it
Resolved
YES
Donald Trump will be the GOP nominee for the presidential election
Resolved
YES
Hunter Biden will not face any serious consequences for his crimes
Resolved
NO
There will be an economic recession (presumably in the USA)
Resolved
YES
We will not find out who is on Epstein's client list

The conservative commentator seems to have taken up forecasting. A track record of his publicly available predictions will be added later.

Which of his 2024 predictions will turn out true?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LTwrltYEa-k

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@mods resolve epstein pls

bought αΉ€350 YES

@logaems Joe Biden has pardoned Hunter Biden

@logaems using gdp, to be released jan 30?

bought αΉ€150 YES

https://www.theverge.com/2024/1/30/24056385/congress-defiance-act-proposed-ban-nonconsensual-ai-porn

It seems like a bipartisan issue to me. It’s seems very likely that Congress will try and tackle it soon.

Can we be more specific on this one? Also, in general to these resolve to his own ranking of his predictions or yours?

@Joshua They will resolve according to his judgment if such a judgment is available on the internet. Otherwise, I will make polls to decide specific resolution criteria.

@Joshua I suppose "We will not find out who is on Epstein's client list" means that it won't be possible to find credible information on which specific people have been clients of Jeffrey Epstein's child prostitution establishment.

@logaems What about only a few names leaked, which would be possible. Or a very small list that's pretending to be the full-list and only for activities that have plausible deniability against child prostitution, or prostitution period? Just as many who have previous associations with Epstein will automatically use the defense that they barely knew him or what he was doing, even those on a client list will likely also use such defense.

I do agree though that the people involved are too powerful, the charges would be too damaging, and the government, media, and powerful interests are too involved to ever reveal something so self-incriminating.

@Maniuser We'll see what Knowles thinks if he comments on it. Otherwise, I will resolve the question according to publicly available information on whether the potential leaked list is complete.

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