Will there be smoke at the start of Manifest?
25
490Ṁ1531
resolved Sep 22
Resolved
NO

As some people might have noticed, the Bay Area's air quality has recently gotten worse due to wildfires in Northern California.

Resolves Yes if, on Sept 22, this (https://map.purpleair.com/1/mAQI/a10/p604800/cC0?select=148639#18.91/37.8605484/-122.2605634) air quality sensor, the one closest to RGI, is at "unhealthy for sensitive groups"/orange or above.

Resolves No if it is at "moderate"/yellow or below.

Resolves around ~3:40 to the current air quality (that's when I get off school lol)

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Sorry for resolving late. Air quality sensor was at 85 at 3:42, so I resolved using that measure. (the measure wasn't above 100 at 3:32 either)

predictedYES

@lag Are you sure you are looking at the right sensor. The link leads to this one, which has been above 100 for the entirety of September 22

@Shump it has, and it dipped down around 340, which is the time I resolved it to. I think your point has merit though, so I'll think about it ig. the point of the market was to see if there was going to be smoke at manifest and with the new readings there probably is

this is one of my first markets lol I'm not completely sure what I'm doing

@lag I also changed the market to "start of Manifest about a day ish before close, so I think I'll just keep it as no

Horrible this morning in Santa Cruz

Here's a forecast predicting "moderate": https://www.baaqmd.gov/about-air-quality/air-quality-forecast

Update: The forecast now predicts an AQI of 105, which is slightly higher than the threshold between "moderate" and "Unhealthy for sensitive groups"

bought Ṁ10 YES

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