🌩️✨📚 What will happen in Stormlight 5?
23
15kṀ39k
resolved Dec 25
Resolved
YES
Someone ascends
Resolved
YES
Shallan's mother is revealed to be a Herald
Resolved
YES
Vyre kills someone introduced in a previous book
Resolved
YES
The 16th Shard's name gets revealed
Resolved
YES
Shallan reintegrates with a personality
Resolved
NO
Odium escapes the Rosharan system
Resolved
NO
The Contest of Champions gets cancelled or postponed
Resolved
NO
The Contest of Champions ends in a tie
Resolved
NO
I will like Vyre
Resolved
NO
Taln breaks
Resolved
NO
Odium gets Splintered
Resolved
NO
At least 3 people say the Fifth Ideal
Resolved
NO
Shallan gets a new personality
Resolved
NO
Jasnah is chosen as Honor's champion
Resolved
NO
Gavilar is Odiums champion

How do I deal with ambiguities?

"I swear to seek justice, to let it guide me, until I find a more perfect Ideal."

  1. The text of the answer and any clarifying comments added by the creator will be the primary factors I consider when I decide on a resolution. Of course, no text has any inherent meaning divorced from people, so a key question I will consider when resolving is: "What would a reasonable person think the creator meant to ask?". However, the intentions or thoughts of the one creating the answer themselves won't be relevant any more than any other person's, so I strongly recommend anticipating and preempting any ambiguities by writing clarifying comments after adding an answer. Consequently, to the predictors, I strongly suggest reading every clarifying comment, because the true criteria may not be apparent just from the short text of the answer (I recommend using Ctrl+F to quickly search for the comments of an answer, and I will ensure that even if the creator comments elsewhere, you will find the text as a comment under the given answer).

  2. In cases of controversy, I will leave at least a few days for both sides to make their case, after which, if I can, I will make a resolution. Note that I strongly dislike resolving to N/A, so even if I am merely 60/40 towards one interpretation, I will resolve that way.

  3. If I don't lean towards either side, I will ask 3 mods to choose between Yes, No and N/A. If more mods choose Yes than No, I will resolve Yes. If more mods choose No than Yes, I will resolve No. Otherwise, I will resolve N/A. (Therefore, if the mods choose N/A, N/A, and Yes, the question will resolve Yes.)

How do I deal with spoilers?

"I will remember those who have forgotten to turn off notifications."

Before the book's release, I will make a comment with the @traders mention to remind everyone that it's time they turn off notifications to avoid being notified about comments possibly containing spoilers and resolutions. Even then, I won't resolve anything until at least a week after release. (I also won't close the market at the book's release, so you will still get your profit quickly because of the faithful Vorin people who only predict the past.)

Because Manifold sometimes features comments on feeds, I will mark my comments as spoilers and I recommend others do the same. (To mark a part of a comment as a spoiler, surround it with "||")

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