MANIFOLD
What will the generic ballot average be on August 1, 2025?
11
Ṁ1kṀ3.1k
resolved Aug 25
100%38%
D, +2.5 to +5
1.7%
D, +10 or higher
4%
D, +7.5 to +10
10%
D ,+5 to +7.5
29%
D, 0 to +2.5
11%
R, 0 +2.5
5%
R, +2.5 to +5
1.7%
R, +5 or higher

Generic ballot average will be from FiveThirtyEight, if it is missing, then the RealClearPolitics average.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/generic-ballot/

For reference

8/1/23 D +0.7

8/1/21 D +4.8

8/1/19 D +6.1

8/1/17 D +8.2

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ196
2Ṁ86
3Ṁ63
4Ṁ27
5Ṁ25
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy