Resolution criteria

This is a binary market. Since the question asks "Who will replace...", the creator should edit this description to specify the name of the candidate they are betting on (for example, Troy Jackson, Nirav Shah, Shenna Bellows, Sara Gideon, or Janet Mills).

If the creator does not edit the description to specify a particular candidate, this market will default to resolving as follows:

• YES: If Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine U.S. Senate race on or before the statutory deadline of July 13, 2026, and the Maine Democratic Party officially names any replacement candidate to the general election ballot by the July 27, 2026 deadline.

• NO: If Graham Platner does not withdraw from the race by the July 13 deadline, or if he withdraws but no replacement nominee is officially named on the ballot by July 27, 2026.

Source of Truth: Official announcements from the Maine Democratic Party or the Maine Secretary of State's office, as widely reported by credible news outlets (e.g., Bangor Daily News, The New York Times, or Politico).

Background

In July 2026, Graham Platner, the Democratic nominee for the U.S. Senate in Maine, faced severe pressure from local and national party leaders to withdraw from the race following allegations of sexual assault published by Politico. Platner, who won the June 9 Democratic primary, denied the allegations but stated he was taking time to assess the future of his campaign.

Under Maine election law, Platner has until Monday, July 13, 2026, to withdraw from the ballot to allow his party to choose a replacement. If he withdraws, the Maine Democratic Party has until July 27, 2026, to nominate a replacement. Potential replacement contenders mentioned in political reporting include former Maine Senate President Troy Jackson, former Maine CDC Director Nirav Shah, Secretary of State Shenna Bellows, former House Speaker Sara Gideon, and Governor Janet Mills.

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