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Massachusetts Politics - Will Question 1 pass on Nov 8, 2022?
10
Ṁ220Ṁ2.1k
resolved Nov 10
Resolved
YES

If Question 1 passes, an additional 4% income tax would be charged to individuals with incomes over $1 million. The 4% would be charged on every dollar of income over $1 million.

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predictedYES

With 95% of the vote counted, YES is 52% and election officials have called the race.

predictedYES
predictedYES

YES is ahead by 90k with about 200k left to be talked, according to The Boston Globe.

predictedNO

Still at just 52%

https://www.wcvb.com/article/umass-amherst-wcvb-poll-massachusetts-ballot-questions-2022/41796381

From October 28: "A new UMass Amherst/WCVB poll found that 59% of voters said they plan to vote Yes on Question 1" versus 33% No and 8% undecided.

That's a pretty definitive lead, especially just a week and a half before the midterm. I think that this is a pretty safe YES.